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Comparison Of Deterministic And Monte Carlo Analyses For Evaluating Risks To Ecological Receptors With Contaminant Uptake Models

John W. Hayse and Ihor Hlohowskyj

5/12/98

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Table of Contents (individual slides)

  1. Introduction
  2. Toxic Burning Pits Area-of-Concern at J-Field, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland
  3. Ecological Risk Assessment
  4. Risk Assessments are Affected by Uncertainty and Natural Variability
  5. Treatment of Uncertainty Can Affect Decisions About Remediation
  6. Deterministic Model
  7. Stochastic Modeling
  8. Deterministic vs. Stochastic Model
  9. Results of Deterministic Modeling
  10. Parameter Distributions
  11. Results of Stochastic Modeling
  12. Results of Stochastic Modeling
  13. Results of Stochastic Modeling
  14. Results of Stochastic Modeling
  15. Results of Stochastic Modeling
  16. Results of Stochastic Modeling
  17. Comparison of Deterministic and Stochastic Modeling Results
  18. Risk Assessment Conclusions
  19. Decision -Making
  20. Conclusions and Recommendations
  21. PPT Slide
  22. PPT Slide
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